Showing posts with label Media. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Media. Show all posts

20120726

Bangladeshi Infiltration and 2012 Asom Riots


Something terrible is happening as this column is being written, in the North Eastern part of India.  This is not just a “routine” riot between two groups fighting each other, but much more impacting the nation in the long run. This is because of where it is happening, why it is happening and why it was not prevented. Since the information is still coming through as of this (July 25, 2012) evening, we will try to present on Indiawires as much clarity as we can, with the information we have gathered from 1000s of Kilometers away.
What happened?
In Asom (Assam) state’s Kokrajhar district, a bloody riot broke out 5-6 days back. 42  people have died, 100s are injured, over 1,70,000 have fled homes to save lives, nearly two dozen trains stopped or attacked, 10s of 1000s of passengers are stranded and 100s of villages have seen burning or vandalizing of homes/buildings. As with any riot, more damage might get uncovered as things become more clear. This is an extremely serious situation and still no signs of things coming under control.
How effective was Indian media?
For any riot or violence, the fourth pillar of democracy is the most key eye. If they don’t cover or tell properly, most people would not know the intensity of devastation. In this case, for the first few days, there was hardly any mention. Even where there were feeble mentions, terms like “clash between tribes”, or “ethnic clash” was used. Majority of Indians would not have understood what was going on and who were involved.
But fortunately, most of the foreign media covered the real issue quite openly as they probably had no stake in suppressing the truth like most of the Indian mainstream TV or papers. BBC World has courage to tell that Kokrajhar violence is due to “Muslim Bengali Migrants” to Asom.  Euro News told that Kokrajhar riot involves “Muslim Settlers”, something that India’s own government doesn’t openly talk about as to who are these “muslim settlers”. Bangkok Post in Thailand showed the pictures  of helpless Bodo women leaving homes in Kokrajhar, unlike their Indian counterparts. Europe’s Irish Times showed pics of an injured lady Purnima Das and her fear-filled child from Kokrajhar, but not any Indian TV! The German paper Duetsche Welle had pics of Indian women suffering due to illegal Bangladeshis, which Indian papers censored as “ethnic” clashes. And kudos to IBTimes which gave the most clear headline, “Rioting In Assam Underscores Deepening Crisis Of ILLEGAL Migration From Bangladesh to India“.  Unlike Indian journos who hid the “other party” in riots, even a Pakistani paper openly called them “Muslim settlers”!  In India, only a very small section of the press, like the tiny Karbi language paper talked openly with a gory picture and on web, Firstpost which published some images.
The reason all those examples were given is because it is not like Indian media does not cover riots. Ask anyone about 2002 and you will remember how Indian print and electronic media were chest-beating 24*7. They are still doing it after 10 long years in some circles. Someone aptly asked on the social media to sum things up regarding the media kangaroo courts we have seen for years. So in Kokrajhar riots are going on unabated the 4th day now. 60,000 have fled homes, but YOU (directed at media) complained Modi didn’t act soon in Gujarat? Infact one of the leaders among Indian media talking about Gujarat riots, that is NDTV, had no Asom riots on the 4th day among the top stories, where even “Ramadan receipes” was there! Rajdeep Sardesai, one of India’s most senior media person, went to ridiculous extent ofsaying that not “enough” people died in Asom for full scale coverage!
Shameful indeed.
Even print journalists like Prasantha Mazumdar thought their readers were idiots by using “a religious minority group” term. If one watches the videos that finally came out after 5 days, rioters in some footage surely fit the “Muslim settlers” profile of foreign media. Not only in some videos  you can see them rioting, you can also see them filming their ‘proud’ destruction.
We were wondering, when just 5% or so of Asom’s population are Bodo tribe people, the one party in this violence, while 30-35% of Asom population is Muslim, why Indian media calls Muslims as “minority”? Tough to understand the logic. Much more tough to understand the large scale suppression of coverage of these riots during the initial days. The same media, which blared Gujarat riot 24*7 forgot that the worst case displaced people count for 2002 Gujarat riots was 2,00,000. As of day 5, Asom riots had displaced 1,70,000 people. Hope they realize the scale now and give the due coverage.
Why it happened?
To understand why it happened, we need to touch a bit of history here. Everything can be traced back to the large illegal migration of Bangladesh people into India, mostly Muslims, in search of employment and other economic benefits. Since Bangladesh is a primarily Islamic nation, there is no way they are fleeing their nation fearing any persecution.
Watch these two videos to understand the gravity of situation. They are lengthy, but simply outstanding in giving you a spine-chilling account of how much danger illegal immigration or infiltration presents to India.
Unlike the repeatedly failed (west) Pakistanis, Bangladeshis have captured Indian land for 15-20% of their population without firing a single bullet!
Noted journalist Swapan Das Gupta said once.
“When enemies attack,we bury our heads & hope problem goes away. So national bird should not be a peacock, but an Ostrich”
Robin Sharma of HS commented once:
“15% of Bangladeshis live in India illegally. It’s fair for India to demand 15% of Bangladesh land to be handed over”.
The main ill effect of illegal immigration or migration or infiltration happened on Poschim Bongo (West Bengal) state and Asom state. Per 2001 census, 12 out of 18 districts of Poschim Bongo had 20% or more Muslim population. – Imagine the 2012 situation then! Bangladesh’s per capita income is $848 and India’s is $1527. Bangladesh’s population density is 1150 per sq.km, while in Asom across the border, it is 397 per sq.km.  This is a perfect recipe for intrusion. The 1970 population of East Pakistan was 7.5 crores. In 1974 it was reduced to 7.14 crores. Yes reduced! At 3.1% yearly growth around that decade, at least 60,00,000 went “missing”. Even considering war & deaths, it is certain that almost all the ‘missing’ ended up in India.  To make it worse, in a sensitive border state like Asom, the then Indian PM Indira Gandhi did not push for census in 1981, considering disturbances. Since the creation of Bangladesh in 1971, the population growth in Asom over the next 20 years was like this; Muslim 77.42%. Hindu 41.89%. Doesn’t need anymore explanation as to what exactly happened.
For more information, please research into terms like “Greater Bangladesh” and “Lebensraum theory”. They would explain the causes of impending Asom Riots better. At a high level, Poschim Bongo’s Muslim to Hindu Population ratio in 1951 was 1:4, which became 1:3.5 by 1981 and by 2001, 1:2.8 . It might be more alarming for Hindus now. 20 years back by a retired IPS officer Baljit Rai even went to the extreme extent of screaming.. “Wake up DUMB Hindus! How Bangladesh will destroy India” in his book. Warning signs for both Asom and Poschim Bongo were clearly there.
Why was it not prevented?
In the simplest term, an open acceptance of illegal immigration is missing in most cases, thanks to pseudo secular vote bank politics.
20 years back when on 10 April 1992, the then CM Hiteshwar Saikia had said -  “30 lakh Bangladeshi illegal migrants are there in Asom“, but exactly 2 days later, made a U-turn on 12 April 1992, stating “There are no illegal Bangladeshis in Asom”. That must be a world record as 30,00,000 illegals became “legal” in 2 days! In April 2011, we heard that “Narendra Modi said he’ll free Asom from Bangladesh.  I say, even if 1000 Modis come, they can’t. All these people are Indian citizens” from Tarun Gogoi the CM of Asom.  When a CM can confidently say that “There are no Bangladeshis in Asom” , then we can ask why Kokrajhar riots are even happening?  With such irresponsible cover ups by folks who should be in the forefront of fight against illegal aliens, what can India expect? To put things into perspective,  in 2003, the then Defence Minister of India, George Fernandes had said that there were 2,00,00,000 illegal Bangaldeshis in India. In 2005,  Asom’s Governor Ajai Singh said that up to6,000 Bangladeshis illegally enter the region every DAY! Even the Prime Minister in 1992, PV Narasimha Rao had remarked in July 1992 that “The influx of Bangladeshis is a national problem and is the root of Asom’s instability“. So certainly there is a huge disconnect between certain CMs and the rest of responsible leaders who talked about the same serious topic. How can there be a difference of 2 crore? India needs an answer.
If acceptance is half the problem, then indifference towards the North East is the second part of the problem. Even when such a grave situation exists in Asom, India’s Prime Minister, who is also an MP from Asom, was feasting on Monday and Tuesday night with the new President for political formality. Compare that to United States where the entire country lowered the flag to half mast last week, when 14 people died due to a Colorado movie theater shooting. When will Indian leaders learn to respect losses of lives and behave in a mature way?
What can be done?
First, accept the geographical sensitivity of the issue. Kokrajhar for instance is a very key connecting point from ‘main’ India to its North Eastern states. If this district along with the one immediately south of it, Dhubri are taken over by illegal foreigners, then the safety and security of over 4,00,00,000 Indians in 7 states is in grave danger. Note, due to the unscientific partition of India, there is NO sea link to the North East of India, resulting in 1000 to 2000 KM of journey some people need to take to reach Kolkata port, when the nearest sea coast is hardly 100 to 200 KM from Mizoram and Tripura states of North East.

 In 2001, 6 out of 22 districts in Asom had more than 50% Muslims.  14 out of 22 had over 20% Muslims.  Considering the decade trends before that, things must be more stalked against Hindus as of 2012.
One thing to make it clear here. The focus is on Bangladeshi illegal migrants, who mostly happen to be Muslims.
Time to learn from Gujarat, Punjab on the western border of India. Gujarat shares 202 KM border with Pakistan. Asom shares 262 KM border. Illegal immigration to Gujarat is Zero. But in Asom? See what’s happening in Kokrajhar. Fencing of the border in Punjab started in 1988 and completed in just three years by 1991. In Asom, fencing was decided in 1985 and God knows when it will be complete.
Shun votebank politics, like what happened in Poschim Bongo in 1998. 3000 Bongos stopped deportation of 34 Bangladeshis from Maharashtra. Indian politicians should stop sick pseudo-secular fight for Bangladeshi illegals, like in 1998 when Bangladeshis were being deported. From 1993 to 1998, BSF handed over 39,746 illegal migrants to Bangladesh Rifles. Bangladesh accepted only 9.253 and refused to accept 30.493. India should put lots of international pressure to make Bangladesh take back these illegals. Politicians and Media should focus on some in-depth analysis points like this and ask serious questions. How did it get to this position? What can be done?

Three Things that we suggest must be done:
There are lot many things that can be done, but regular folks like you and me should focus on three things.
a) Put pressure on politicians to act against illegal immigration. Against those waiting to cross over to India, and against those who are already in India. India belongs to legal resident Indians!
b) Educate friends and families for making (a) a reality.
c) Immediately join hands with those helping the lakhs of people who have lost homes temporarily or permanently.  One such initiative is happening on the social network Twitter with the hash tag -> #HelpAssamRiotVictims . Join them, show your support to the victims and make them feel that they have help.
And, let’s hope there’s mercy from Bhagawan to those in deep suffering right this hour. The scale of suffering is huge and unfortunately, lots of geo-political things and politics have played a role into bringing them this suffering.



(Source)
------------------------------------------------------ कोई भी मूल्य एवं संस्कृति तब तक जीवित नहीं रह सकती जब तक वह आचरण में नहीं है.

20120420

NDTV and Prannoy Roy – Once Upon a Time

[Not many people today know about corrupt legacy and deceit history of NDTV Head Prannoy Roy and Radhika Roy. How Prannoy Roy, his wife Radhika Roy of NDTV, palmed off Doordarshan in a way not dissimilar to how DB Realty palmed off Telecom Ministry and the tax payer. Tweeple and guest blogger Shri @s_chaitanya provides valuable insights that will help one understand deceit nature of major sections of Indian media today. Prannoy Roy's ascendency in broadcast media to a good extent explains why large sections of broadcast media show poor journalist standards. Prannoy Roy case is another example of determined rogues with connections conning Indians and escaping justice]
During 1997 and 1998, the names of NDTV and its founder Prannoy Roy appear in newspapers and magazines in relation to a major corruption case in Doordarshan.
In the context of the recent reports of financial malpractice by NDTV and its founder Prannoy Roy, I followed up on this tweet by Kunal Majumdar, a journalist:
In 1998 CBI had filed a case against Pranoy Roy for creating a loss of Rs 5 cr to DD http://bit.ly/ij5lC3 #fb
I was surprised to learn of the existence of a CBI case against Prannoy Roy. I wanted to dig up more on this story. I went through all 16 pages returned by Google for “prannoy roy cbi dd” and found many interesting links. I’m putting the links here quoting revelant portions of the articles. One must be cautious before drawing conclusions from these articles as they were written more than a decade ago. But one conclusion that people may safely draw is that during the early 90s, NDTV and its founder and Executive Chairperson Prannoy Roy were allegedly involved in corrupt dealings reportedly causing a loss of atleast Rs. 3.52 crore to Doordarshan, allegedly bribed an official in the Government of India, and in January 1998 cases were filed against Roy and others by the Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) under Section 120-B of the Indian Penal Code (IPC) for criminal conspiracy and under the Prevention of Corruption Act.
Outlook, 1st September 1997“Star Crossed | Star TV boss Rathikant Basu tries desperately to save his job as the CBI gets ready to file cases against him”
It’s not just Basu who is under the CBI searchlight. Agency records name NDTV CEO Prannoy Roy as a beneficiary and the CBI is currently firming its case against him. Says V. Lakshmi Ratan, additional secretary, DOPT: “The case will be against both the bribe-giver and taker. Roy will definitely be in the CBI dragnet if the agency finds evidence against Basu.” And the CBI’s blotter of charges—though not new—can be potentially very damaging.
At present, the agency is looking into two allegations: that in 1990, Basu as director general, Doordarshan, took the arbitrary decision to place a news-programme, The World This Week—produced by Prannoy Roy’s NDTV—in the ‘A’ category for the purposes of sponsorship and in the ‘A Special’ category for spot buys. This decision, according to this year’s annual Public Accounts Committee (PAC) report, cost the exchequer a whopping Rs 3.52 crore.
[…]
The situation gets hairier for Basu since legal experts within the agency are almost unanimous that Basu’s employment with Star TV—which, incidentally, has a tie-up with NDTV—on what is said to be a whopping monthly salary of Rs 15 lakh only three days after he left government service, establishes the fact that he was a beneficiary.
The original motivation for the CBI inquiry seems to be bureaucrat scrutiny at wrongdoing by  Roy and Basu though sections of media appeared to project it differently.
Outlook, 22nd Sep 1997“How Zee Is Shooting Star: Lobbyists have a field day as Subhash Chandra guns for partner Murdoch’s expansion plans”
Surely, our culture and democracy couldn’t be so feeble. Hence the government seems to have adopted a more legalistic means to stop Star TV in its tracks. They’ve picked on Basu, once the government’s favourite bureaucrat, today the bad boy of babudom who’s sold out to Murdoch the marauder. Peer envy? Some elements in the bureaucracy agree. It is pointed out that when the DTH ban notification was issued, Basu, accompanied by Prannoy Roy and Rajat Sharma, had rushed to the prime minister who, in turn, had hauled up three senior bureaucrats—cabinet secretary T.S.R. Subramaniam, telecom secretary V.K. Gokak and the then information and broadcasting secretary N.P. Nawani—for issuing a sensitive order without consulting the PMO. That got the bureaucracy’s goat and the ministry of personnel and the CBI were asked to fix Basu for good.
Every available missile has since been fired at the Star TV India CEO—the rule book, an ultimatum to remit office within 15 days, the threat to set the CBI on his trail. It did spread panic—Gary Davey flew down to Delhi twice, Murdoch flew into Hong Kong to take stock and Star’s ally, Prannoy Roy’s NDTV, faced the prospect of being sucked into the vortex of the raging controversy—but, as things stand, Basu is still in the saddle and fighting. The case against him is that as a former DD chief, he is privy to the national broadcaster’s long-term plans. But one has to be spectacularly gullible to swallow that line: the only secrets that DD can possibly yield for the benefit of its rivals would be about how not to run a network. It is, after all, a badly-managed outfit whose policies have less to do with market realities and its public service broadcasting aims than with the whims of its political bosses in Shastri Bhavan.
Indian Express, 20th Jan 1998CBI case against Prannoy Roy
The Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) has filed a case of criminal conspiracy against New Delhi Television (NDTV) managing director Prannoy Roy, former Director General of Doordarshan and present Chief Executive Officer of Star TV R Basu and and five other top officials of Doordarshan. The First Information Report (FIR) filed on the basis of “source information”‘ says that the undue favour granted to Prannoy Roy had led to a loss of approximately Rs five crore to Doordarshan.
The FIR filed in the court of Special CBI judge Ajit Bharihoke alleges that the officials of Doordarshan had “entered into a criminal conspiracy at New Delhi during 1990-1996 with Prannoy Roy with a view to cause favour by abusing their official position.”
According to the CBI charge-sheet, DD suffered a loss of over Rs 3.52 crore due to the “undue favours” shown to NDTV as its programme The World This Week (TWTW) was put in `A’ category instead of `special A’ category.
The case filed was specific. Not much is known about the fate of the CBI case. While the Indian Express report says that a case was indeed filed against Prannoy Roy, NDTV’s public offering prospectus in 2004 seemingly falsifies this information and implies that there was no FIR or no case was filed against NDTV or Roy:
The Company and its promoters have also been named in an First Information Report (FIR) filed by the Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) in January 1998 against certain DD officials in relation to certain violations of rules by DD officials pertaining to certain programmes produced by the Company for telecast by DD. Till date, no case has been instituted against the Company based on the investigation carried out pursuant to the FIR.
In March 1998, Smt Sushma Swaraj took over as Information & Broadcasting Minister in AB Vajpayee’s cabinet. This was what was last heard.
Indian Express, 9th July 1998Mandarins’ Murdoch mission likely to end up in smoke
Another wrongstreet the government is getting into is going after Murdoch through Prannoy Roy and R Basu. Sushma Swaraj has said that she is letting loose the CBI to look into the undue benefits provided to NDTV by DD when he used to provide the state network with programming. An issue that has been simmering for the past couple of years but has got nowhere. It’s about time, the authorities stop their tomfoolery and get over their Murdoch fixation.
Here’s some kind of “list of events” related to DD from 1998: Doordarshan: The Year That Was! It seems to have been in memory as late as 2003, as shown in this gossip article at Rediff from March 2003:
Information & Broadcast Ministry, Doordarshan and discretion
Despite the recent public focus on the misuse of ministerial discretion, nothing seems to have changed. A case in point is the information and broadcasting ministry.
In the recent past, Doordarshan has turned many including Prannoy Roy to Vinod Dua into millionaires. And many more constantly knock at its doors for make-me-rich-overnight contracts, especially where commissioned programmes are concerned.
[Editor: The whole saga turns up several interesting points. Who bailed Prannoy Roy and NDTV out? Needle of suspicion points at the following people in the NDA Government: AB Vajpayee, PM, Brajesh Mishra, Cabinet Secretary, LK Advani, Home Minister and Sushma Swaraj, Information & Broadcast Minister. The decision could have been a consensual one driven by Brajesh Mishra. One does notice that Brajesh finds himself in NDTV whenever he wants. AB Vajpayee to NDTV was always the good man in a bad party. NDTV's coverage on Smt Swaraj is markedly different from its coverage of Shri Narendra Modi.  Before 2009 elections, LK Advani was specially awarded by NDTV for life time achievement (for what? babri mosque structure demolition? ;-) ).
Progressively in Indian media, journalism of courage has by and large been buried. Prannoy James Roy, son of English Mother and Bengali father has done rather well by networking with the powerful and the corrupt. He is a member of the CFR. He is a co-brother of Prakash Karat, Marxist Communist Party, General Secretary who by the way is also a bible expert and who was guided by liberation theologian, Reverend Duncan Forester for scholarship to Edinburgh University(Wikipedia wont tell you this. ;-) ) Prannoy is Suzanne (aka Arundati) Roy's cousin. By and large and not surprisingly NDTV has been faithful to red and islamist networks whose agenda, NDTV champions. Discourse subversion by the likes of NDTV has high costs and is not understood by many. One shudders to think to what compromises, NDTV and the Roys would have done to sustain their almost perpetually loss-making entity. Continuous survival of a continually loss making NDTV is a financial miracle in itself that calls for scrutiny.
Further, success through corruption sets a very wrong example to the society. Its not a coincidence that Rajdeep Sardesai, Raghav Behl and others have sought to emulate Prannoy Roy Model of Corruption and Deceit journalism. It is said old habits die hard. NDTV was again in the news for corruption. Sunday Guardian highlighted how NDTV avoids Taxes and of financial chicanery with ICICI bank. NDTV decided to brazen it out and tried intimidating tactics with Sunday Guardian. And well, interview appearances, 'awards' for Chanda Kochchar, 'Life time Achievement' for KV Kamath ;-) and award to ICICI have nothing to do with quid pro quo?
Fredrick Hayek's rule on people violating ossified rules in India kind of scarcity environment has been proffered at times to justify corruption. That defence does not hold in cases similar to prannoy roy's CBI case where the goal is to defraud the tax-payer and criminal conspiracy is involved. It might be worthwhile for intrepid RTI -waalas to cull out facts on Prannoy Roy's CBI case. Dr. Swamy suggests innovative ways to prosecute the corrupt. These approaches are likely to work when the judiciary is fair. Judiciary, post KG Balakrishnan seems different and presents a window of opportunity to tame corruption such as NDTV's]

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(Zoom Indian Media)
------------------------------------------------------ कोई भी मूल्य एवं संस्कृति तब तक जीवित नहीं रह सकती जब तक वह आचरण में नहीं है.

20090615

कांग्रेस का राहुल उदयः कितना सच, कितना झूठ

16 मई को अभी चुनाव परिणाम आने शुरू भी नहीं हुए थे. सिर्फ रूझान आ रहे थे जो यह बता रहे थे कि कांग्रेस के नेतृत्व में यूपीए बड़ा उलटफेर करने जा रही है. सुबह के ग्यारह बजे तक जो रुझान आ रहे थे वे बता रहे थे कि कांग्रेस सबसे बड़ी पार्टी के रूप में उभर रही है. लेकिन रुझान आते ही कांग्रेस के नेता दिग्विजय सिंह ने कहा कि कांग्रेस ने जो सफलता अर्जित की है वह राहुल गांधी जी की कड़ी मेहनत का परिणाम है. इसके थोड़ी देर बार अंबिका सोनी का बयान आया कि राहुल गांधी जी को इस भारी जीत का सारा श्रेय देना चाहिए और पुरस्कार भी.

फिर तो जैसे राहुलगान गाने का तांता लग गया. कांग्रेस के नेताओं को छोड़िए. मीडिया ने यह काम अपने हाथ में ले लिया. इस गान में सबसे पहले कोरस मिलाया राजदीप सरदेसाई के चैनल ने फिर उसके बाद टाईम्स नाऊ भी इसी में शामिल हो गया. फिर देखा-देखी हिन्दी के चैनलों ने भी राहुल गान की तान छेड़ दी. पूरे दिन राहुल गांधी को कांग्रेस की जीत का श्रेय दिया जाता रहा. अगले दिन देश के हर अखबार ने यही काम किया. पंद्रहवीं लोकसभा का चुनाव परिणामों में कांग्रेस की सफलता राहुल गांधी को समर्पित हो गयी. पिछले दो-तीन महीने से राहुल गांधी के लिए जो मीडिया मैनेजमेन्ट चल रहा था उसका क्लाईमेक्स बहुत शानदार तरीके से हुआ. राहुल गांधी को मनमोहन सिंह ने भी मंत्री बनने के लिए आफर किया जिसे राहुल गांधी ने बड़ी शालीनता से अस्वीकार कर संगठन के काम में ही रमने का इरादा जताया. फिर भी प्रयास जारी है कि वे बिना विभाग के ही मंत्री बन जाएं. आगे वे क्या करेंगे मालूम नहीं लेकिन राहुल इफेक्ट को परिभाषित करते हुए कांग्रेस और मीडिया दोनों ही तीन राज्यों में कांग्रेस के उत्थान का तर्क दे रहे हैं.

उत्तर प्रदेश, बिहार और राजस्थान ऐसे तीन राज्य हैं जिसके बारे में कहा जा रहा है कि सिर्फ राहुल जी की "दूरदर्शी नीतियों" के कारण इन राज्यों में कांग्रेस को सफलता मिली है. फिलहाल हम यह सवाल नहीं करते हैं कि अगर ऐसा है तो फिर देश के शेष राज्यों में राहुल जी की दूरदर्शी नीतियां क्यों नहीं अपनाई गयी? लेकिन इतना जरूर पूछते हैं कि महाराष्ट्र के जिस कलावती का जिक्र उन्होंने संसद के अपने भाषण में किया था उस कलावती के गांव जालका ने शिवसेना के आनंदराव अडसुल कों क्यों जितवा दिया? अगर राहुल गांधी का करिश्मा ही है तो कम से कम अमरावती सीट जरूर कांग्रेस के खाते में जानी चाहिए थी क्योंकि अमरावती की कलावती को राहुल गांधी ने रातों-रात देशभर में चर्चित कर दिया था. लेकिन ऐसा नहीं हुआ. राहुल गांधी के प्रशिक्षण में लगे कांग्रेस के वरिष्ठ नेताओं ने बहुत सोच समझकर राहुल गांधी को वहां-वहां पहुंचाया जहां दुख और तकलीफ है. इसी कड़ी में वे विदर्भ भी गये थे. बार-बार गये थे. लेकिन विदर्भ ने उनका साथ क्यों नहीं दिया? इस सवाल को यहीं छोड़ आगे बढ़ते हैं.

उत्तर प्रदेश, राजस्थान और बिहार में राहुल गांधी ने ऐसा क्या कमाल किया है? राहुल गांधी के प्रशिक्षक विदर्भ के अलावा उनको उत्तर प्रदेश और मध्य प्रदेश के बुन्देलखण्ड इलाके में भी लेकर गये थे. अगर कांग्रेस की जीत में राहुल की जनवादी और मर्मस्पर्शी नीतियां होती तो कम से कम हमीरपुर और बांदा की सीट कांग्रेस को जीतनी चाहिए थी. लेकिन इन दोनों सीटों में एक बसपा के खाते में गयी है और दूसरी सपा के खाते में. यहां राहुल गांधी का जादू क्यों नहीं चला? जबकि दलित के घर जाने से लेकर कड़ी धूप में विचरण करने तक सारे काम उन्होंने यहां किये थे. उत्तर प्रदेश में जहां-जहां कांग्रेस के उम्मीदवार विजयी हुए हैं उन सीटों को ही देख लीजिए. मोरादाबाद की सीट अजहरूद्दीन ने जीती है. खीरी जफर अली नकवी ने जीती है. इसी तरह धौरहरा से जतिन प्रसाद, उन्नाव से अन्नू टंडन, कानपुर से श्रीप्रकाश जायसवाल, अकबरपुर से राजाराम पाल, झांसी से प्रदीप कुमार जैन, बाराबंकी से पीएल पुनिया, फैजाबाद से निर्मल खत्री बहराईच से कमल किशोर, गोण्डा से बेनी प्रसाद वर्मा, डुमरियागंज से जगदम्बिका पाल चुनाव जीते हैं. इन सीटों का जिक्र इसलिए कर रहा हूं क्योंकि कांग्रेस ने ये सीटें समीकरण और उम्मीदवारों के कारण जीती हैं न कि राहुल गांधी के प्रभाव के कारण. इनमें अधिकांश सीटें मुस्लिम मतदाता बहुल हैं और इस बार सपा से छिटकर उत्तर प्रदेश के मुसलमानों ने कांग्रेस को वोट किया है. रायबरेली, अमेठी, प्रतापगढ़ और सुल्तानपुर सीटों का जिक्र इसलिए नहीं कर रहा हूं क्योकि ये चार सीटें तो कांग्रेस को जीतनी ही थी. इनमें से एक पर सोनिया गांधी चुनाव लड़ रही थी, दूसरे पर खुद राहुल गांधी, तीसरे पर दिनेश सिंह की बेटी राजकुमारी रत्ना सिंह और चौथे पर डॉ संजय सिंह. इन सीटों पर प्रियंका का सीधा प्रभाव था, और ये चारों सीटे आस-पास हैं. इसलिए यहां की जीत का श्रेय भी राहुल गांधी के खाते में नहीं जाता है.

अगर कांग्रेस की इस जीत को राहुल गांधी का करिश्मा मान भी लें तो यह करिश्मा बिहार में क्यों नहीं दोहराया गया? उत्तर प्रदेश में कांग्रेस के वोट शेयर में 6 प्रतिशत की बढोत्तरी हुई है. उसे कुल 12 प्रतिशत वोट और 21 सीटें हासिल हुई हैं. लेकिन बिहार में भी उसको कम वोट नहीं मिले हैं. बिहार में उसके मत में 4 प्रतिशत की बढ़ोत्तरी हुई है और इस बार उसे बिहार में कुल मतदान का 10 प्रतिशत वोट शेयर हासिल हुआ है. फिर बिहार में उसे केवल दो सीटें ही क्यों मिली और पिछली बार की तुलना में उसे एक सीट का नुकसान हो गया. उत्तर प्रदेश में कांग्रेस के पक्ष में हुई जीत को आंकड़ों के ही लिहाज से देखेंगे तो जीत के कारण साफ होने लगते हैं. उत्तर प्रदेश में सपा के वोट शेयर में कमी दर्ज की गयी है. 2004 में 26.74 प्रतिशत वोटों की तुलना में इस बार उसे 23.26 फीसदी वोट मिले हैं. इसी तरह भाजपा के मत प्रतिशत में भी कमी आयी है. पिछले चुनाव में 22.17 प्रतिशत की तुलना में उसे 17.50 प्रतिशत वोट मिले हैं. हालांकि बसपा को पिछले चुनाव की तुलना में अधिक वोट मिले हैं. राज्य में उसे पिछली बार 24.67 फीसदी वोट मिला था जबकि इस बार 27.42 फीसदी वोट मिला है. अन्य के मत प्रतिशत में एक प्रतिशत का उतार है. साफ है कांग्रेस को सपा और भाजपा के परंपरागत वोटबैंक का हिस्सा मिला है. सपा का परंपरागत वोट बैंक मुस्लिम कल्याण सिंह के साथ आने से सपा से अलग हुआ है और भाजपा का परंपरागत वोटर जो कांग्रेस से छिटकर भाजपा के साथ आया उसने दोबारा कांग्रेस का साथ दिया है. उत्तर प्रदेश में कांग्रेस मत प्रतिशत में बढ़ोत्तरी और जीत के यही दो कारण हैं.

अगर मायावती के मत प्रतिशत में कमी आती तो समझा जा सकता था कि यह राहुल गांधी का कमाल है क्योंकि मायावती भी आरोप लगाती रही हैं कि दलित के घर खाना खाने से कोई दलित का दुख-दर्द नहीं बांट लेता. साफ है, उन्हें इस बात का खतरा था कि राहुल गांधी उनके परंपरागत वोट में सेंधमारी कर सकते हैं. लेकिन ऐसा नहीं हुआ. मायावती के वोट शेयर में बढ़ोत्तरी हुई है. नुकसान सिर्फ सपा और भाजपा को हुआ है. सपा को नुकसान के पीछे का एकमात्र कारण कल्याण सिंह हैं. कल्याण सिंह के ही कारण मुसलमान वोटर सपा से दूर हुआ जबकि उम्मीदों पर खरा न उतर पाने के कारण इस बार कांग्रेस के पुराने वोटर भाजपा को छोड़ कांग्रेस के साथ चले गये. फिर भी इस मत प्रतिशत से ज्यादा सीटों का समीकरण कांग्रेस की जीत के लिए ज्यादा जिम्मेदार है. मसलन उन्नाव से चुनाव लड़ रही अन्नू टंडन के पति रिलांयस के बड़े ओहदेदार हैं और खुद मुकेश अंबानी की नजर इस सीट पर लगी हुई थी. सलमान खान सबसे पहले इसी सीट पर अन्नू टंडन का प्रचार करने आये थे तो उनका यहां आना अनायास नहीं था. इसी तरह राजस्थान में सारा कमाल जादूगर कहे जाने वाले अशोक गहलोत का है. लेकिन कांग्रेस को मिली सफलता का एक और बड़ा कारण यहां 6 विधायकों का ऐन चुनाव से पहले कांग्रेस में शामिल होना भी है. बसपा जो कांग्रेस का वोट काट सकती थी उसका भी वोट कांग्रेस के खाते में आ गया.

यही तीन राज्य हैं जिसमें जीत को राहुल गांधी की "कड़ी मेहनत" का नतीजा बताया जा रहा हैं और उनकी कड़ी मेहनत को पलकों से बुहार लगायी जा रही है. अब आप ही बताइये, कांग्रेस की इस जीत में राहुल गांधी का योगदान कहां है, जिसे हमारा मीडिया बार-बार कांग्रेस के प्रवक्ता की तरह बखान कर रहा है?
(संजय तिवारी)
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कोई भी मूल्य एवं संस्कृति तब तक जीवित नहीं रह सकती जब तक वह आचरण में नहीं है.